Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.3%). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Cozens 52.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Cizikas
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cizikas
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
52.6% (606)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.5% (94)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
33.3% (6)
+14.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cozens
Home
53.3% (270)
54.1% (375)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Cizikas
Cozens
P1
57.2%
55.8%
P2
56.3%
50.6%
P3
49.5%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |