Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 52.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 91.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 79.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Cizikas
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Cozens
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.4% (859)
+7.0%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
49.5% (186)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
39.5% (129)
+1.1%
On power play, Cozens has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cozens
Home
55.0% (473)
49.0% (600)
Away
51.7% (466)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Cizikas
Cozens
P1
54.9%
46.5%
P2
50.8%
52.9%
P3
54.5%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |