Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Larkin 52.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Cizikas
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cizikas
Larkin
Last 9: Cizikas 2-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
6
Cizikas
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.8% (903)
+6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
56.0% (225)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
47.4% (76)
-2.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Larkin
Home
56.6% (484)
55.6% (662)
Away
54.5% (477)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Cizikas
Larkin
P1
57.2%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
52.7%
P3
54.8%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |