Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.5%). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Larkin 54.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 55.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Cizikas
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Larkin
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
52.6% (1,117)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.7% (305)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
55.9% (177)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Larkin
Home
55.4% (303)
54.7% (783)
Away
54.9% (308)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Cizikas
Larkin
P1
53.0%
55.9%
P2
56.0%
56.1%
P3
56.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |