Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Tavares 54.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
1
Cizikas
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
54.8% (861)
+0.4%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
57.5% (226)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
51.7% (29)
-2.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
55.5% (353)
58.1% (559)
Away
51.3% (335)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
53.4%
57.6%
P2
51.4%
55.5%
P3
55.8%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |