Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 84.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Cizikas
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
60.9% (1,043)
-3.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
60.4% (278)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
47.6% (21)
-2.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
56.6% (484)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.5% (477)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
57.2%
60.3%
P2
54.7%
60.4%
P3
54.8%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |