Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 36-28 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 78.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
28
(64 meetings)
36
28
Cizikas
Hayes
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
15
Cizikas
Hayes
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
12
3
Cizikas
Hayes
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
18
10
Cizikas
Hayes
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
47.5% (6,708)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
51.7% (702)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
45.3% (697)
-0.9%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
53.7% (5,498)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
53.0%
47.5%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
51.7%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |