Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 71.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cizikas
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
56.6% (724)
-2.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.0% (79)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
65.7% (35)
-14.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
58.6% (307)
58.0% (405)
Away
48.7% (339)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
56.7%
54.7%
P2
49.8%
55.7%
P3
53.8%
60.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |