Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 93.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 86.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cizikas
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
42.7% (478)
+15.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
42.9% (98)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.2% (31)
-0.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
56.6% (484)
43.5% (232)
Away
54.5% (477)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
57.2%
40.1%
P2
54.7%
44.8%
P3
54.8%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |