Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 84.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cizikas
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
48.5% (557)
+7.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
53.3% (107)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
58.3% (12)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
55.0% (473)
50.8% (313)
Away
51.7% (466)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
54.9%
52.3%
P2
50.8%
47.7%
P3
54.5%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |