Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
51.6% (386)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
60.0% (20)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
55.4% (303)
50.5% (200)
Away
54.9% (308)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
53.0%
58.8%
P2
56.0%
49.3%
P3
56.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |