Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Hayes 38.0% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 79.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Hayes
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Cizikas
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
37.1% (642)
+15.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
32.1% (28)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
0.0% (11)
+49.5%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
56.5% (446)
36.7% (354)
Away
47.4% (409)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
57.0%
33.6%
P2
51.0%
38.3%
P3
48.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |