Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 90.3%
9.7%
90.3%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
46.9% (162)
+10.9%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
73.2% (56)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
100.0% (2)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
56.6% (484)
58.4% (125)
Away
54.5% (477)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
57.2%
56.9%
P2
54.7%
52.5%
P3
54.8%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |