Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 27-12 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 81.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
27
(39 meetings)
12
27
Cizikas
Duchene
Last 10: Cizikas 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
15
Cizikas
Duchene
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
3
Cizikas
Duchene
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
9
Cizikas
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
53.9% (10,396)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
49.1% (468)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
53.7% (5,498)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
53.0%
54.5%
P2
51.1%
54.5%
P3
51.7%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |