Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cizikas
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
56.5% (566)
-2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.3% (62)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
22.2% (9)
+29.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
58.6% (307)
56.6% (318)
Away
48.7% (339)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
56.7%
57.2%
P2
49.8%
55.1%
P3
53.8%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |