Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 53.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Cizikas
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
53.0% (723)
+3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.5% (101)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
43.8% (16)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
55.4% (303)
54.9% (408)
Away
54.9% (308)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
53.0%
52.5%
P2
56.0%
51.7%
P3
56.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%