Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Frost 55.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Frost
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
54.9% (701)
-0.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.8% (166)
+39.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
100.0% (5)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
53.3% (270)
56.0% (443)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
57.2%
58.9%
P2
56.3%
55.3%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |