Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Frost 49.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 81.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 61.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
48.6% (704)
+5.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.7% (115)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
25.0% (4)
+26.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
58.6% (307)
49.9% (399)
Away
48.7% (339)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
56.7%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
53.9%
P3
53.8%
42.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |