Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Frost 48.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 68.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Frost
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Cizikas
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
47.4% (426)
+10.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
63.9% (36)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
20.0% (5)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
56.6% (484)
51.1% (221)
Away
54.5% (477)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
57.2%
47.5%
P2
54.7%
52.3%
P3
54.8%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |