Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Frost 51.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 69.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 78.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
50.3% (825)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.9% (204)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
55.4% (303)
50.7% (489)
Away
54.9% (308)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
56.0%
47.8%
P3
56.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |