Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Frost 46.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 81.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Cizikas
Frost
Last 8: Cizikas 8-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
45.6% (833)
+10.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
46.0% (100)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
55.6% (18)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
55.0% (473)
47.0% (440)
Away
51.7% (466)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
54.9%
42.5%
P2
50.8%
47.9%
P3
54.5%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |