Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.1% vs Dowd 51.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 61.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 59.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Cizikas
Dowd
Last 8: Cizikas 0-8 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cizikas
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Cizikas
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Cizikas
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (815)
51.2% (381)
-1.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
100.0% (2)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (188)
53.9% (89)
-9.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
49.3% (477)
54.6% (218)
Away
48.9% (536)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
49.3%
50.6%
P2
51.5%
55.1%
P3
45.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |