Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 69.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
55.2% (625)
+1.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
57.1% (7)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
38.2% (220)
+2.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
55.0% (473)
53.7% (445)
Away
51.7% (466)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
54.9%
48.8%
P2
50.8%
49.3%
P3
54.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |