Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Dowd 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cizikas
Dowd
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Cizikas
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
55.4% (771)
+2.4%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
57.1% (7)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.5% (165)
-0.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
56.6% (484)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.5% (477)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
57.2%
55.6%
P2
54.7%
50.5%
P3
54.8%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |