Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Dowd 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 78.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Cizikas
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
52.2% (835)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
44.0% (350)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
55.4% (303)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.9% (308)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
53.0%
51.7%
P2
56.0%
51.6%
P3
56.2%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |