Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Dowd 55.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 70.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Cizikas
Dowd
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
0
Cizikas
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Cizikas
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
1
Cizikas
Dowd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (488)
58.2% (617)
-2.5%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
71.4% (7)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (132)
47.2% (144)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
54.3% (313)
58.4% (399)
Away
52.1% (326)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
55.9%
59.0%
P2
54.6%
56.1%
P3
48.7%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |