Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 70.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 84.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Cizikas
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
44.3% (271)
+9.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
77.8% (18)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
31.7% (41)
+20.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
58.6% (307)
52.0% (148)
Away
48.7% (339)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
56.7%
42.7%
P2
49.8%
42.9%
P3
53.8%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |