Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Cates 43.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 83.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Cizikas
Cates
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
1
Cizikas
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
3
Cizikas
Cates
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
44.1% (2,742)
+9.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
43.0% (242)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
34.9% (373)
+9.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
53.7% (5,498)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
53.0%
44.5%
P2
51.1%
43.5%
P3
51.7%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |