Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Cates 45.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
45.4% (712)
+9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.2% (102)
+57.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.7% (47)
+2.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
53.3% (270)
46.3% (423)
Away
54.8% (299)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
57.2%
46.3%
P2
56.3%
47.1%
P3
49.5%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |