Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.0% vs Thompson 45.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 73.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Cizikas
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Cizikas
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cizikas
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (596)
45.4% (721)
+9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
49.5% (103)
+50.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
35.3% (34)
+11.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
54.4% (329)
46.1% (438)
Away
55.0% (313)
44.8% (420)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
57.4%
46.9%
P2
55.8%
47.3%
P3
51.4%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
54.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Thompson
54.0%▲
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |