Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Thompson 43.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 69.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 70.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Cizikas
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Cizikas
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
43.3% (735)
+13.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
50.0% (26)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
36.5% (52)
+4.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
55.0% (473)
44.5% (407)
Away
51.7% (466)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
54.9%
44.4%
P2
50.8%
44.8%
P3
54.5%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |