Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Thompson 41.2% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 51.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 86.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 78.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
40.6% (801)
+17.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
44.7% (103)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
31.0% (71)
+13.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
56.6% (484)
43.2% (507)
Away
54.5% (477)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
57.2%
37.7%
P2
54.7%
43.4%
P3
54.8%
39.5%
OT
100.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |