Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Thompson 45.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cizikas
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cizikas
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
44.9% (642)
+9.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
47.9% (94)
+52.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
33.3% (33)
+14.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
53.3% (270)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.8% (299)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
57.2%
48.1%
P2
56.3%
44.9%
P3
49.5%
41.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |