Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Thompson 43.7% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
41.9% (597)
+14.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.5% (95)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
25.0% (12)
+8.3%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
55.4% (303)
47.1% (367)
Away
54.9% (308)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
53.0%
44.2%
P2
56.0%
41.6%
P3
56.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |