Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.9%). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Cizikas
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cizikas
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
54.1% (717)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.9% (210)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
58.1% (31)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hertl
Home
55.4% (303)
58.1% (492)
Away
54.9% (308)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Cizikas
Hertl
P1
53.0%
57.1%
P2
56.0%
54.0%
P3
56.2%
56.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |