Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cizikas
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Cizikas
Hertl
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
10
Cizikas
Hertl
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
2
Cizikas
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
6
Cizikas
Hertl
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
53.8% (8,268)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
59.3% (1,975)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
46.3% (806)
-1.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hertl
Home
53.7% (5,498)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Cizikas
Hertl
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
51.7%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |