Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor Bedard
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Bedard 40.7% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 55.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
38.9% (512)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
43.8% (16)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Home
47.7% (583)
40.2% (246)
Away
46.4% (541)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bedard
P1
50.0%
39.9%
P2
46.2%
38.5%
P3
45.5%
39.0%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |