Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Bedard 46.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 52.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
44.2% (450)
+6.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
70.0% (30)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.8% (13)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Home
59.3% (91)
50.7% (223)
Away
42.5% (80)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bedard
P1
48.8%
40.8%
P2
49.1%
48.2%
P3
56.7%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |