Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Bedard 41.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 69.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Bedard
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
40.1% (1,580)
+4.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
51.9% (77)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.0% (24)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Home
46.7% (2,316)
43.3% (785)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bedard
P1
46.8%
39.0%
P2
46.1%
40.7%
P3
44.0%
42.6%
OT
36.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |