Casey Mittelstadt vs Connor Bedard
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Bedard 39.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 59.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 58.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Mittelstadt
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
38.0% (618)
+6.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
38.7% (31)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bedard
Home
46.0% (491)
40.5% (316)
Away
42.4% (512)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bedard
P1
44.0%
37.2%
P2
46.4%
36.9%
P3
41.9%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |