Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeni Malkin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Mittelstadt
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
49.0% (811)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
55.8% (43)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
50.0% (2)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Home
45.1% (366)
52.3% (438)
Away
46.8% (370)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Malkin
P1
41.1%
51.3%
P2
51.1%
50.8%
P3
45.9%
45.0%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |