Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeni Malkin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Malkin 46.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Last 7: Mittelstadt 2-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
4
Mittelstadt
Malkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Mittelstadt
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Mittelstadt
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
45.5% (602)
-0.8%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
50.0% (30)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Home
46.0% (491)
47.5% (326)
Away
42.4% (512)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Malkin
P1
44.0%
49.3%
P2
46.4%
44.7%
P3
41.9%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |