Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeni Malkin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Malkin 48.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Mittelstadt
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Mittelstadt
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
47.9% (776)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
66.7% (24)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Home
47.7% (583)
49.6% (405)
Away
46.4% (541)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Malkin
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
47.2%
P3
45.5%
48.5%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |