Casey Mittelstadt vs Evgeni Malkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.8%). Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Malkin 45.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
7
Mittelstadt
Malkin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Mittelstadt
Malkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
5
Mittelstadt
Malkin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
45.6% (10,081)
-0.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
50.1% (668)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
32.2% (59)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Malkin
Home
46.7% (2,316)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Malkin
P1
46.8%
45.9%
P2
46.1%
46.2%
P3
44.0%
45.2%
OT
36.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |