Casey Mittelstadt vs Frederick Gaudreau
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Gaudreau 52.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Last 9: Mittelstadt 7-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
0
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
54.2% (118)
-8.1%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
100.0% (2)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (42)
+0.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaudreau is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Home
47.3% (224)
50.0% (64)
Away
50.7% (217)
56.1% (98)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
P1
51.8%
61.7%
P2
51.0%
50.9%
P3
44.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |