Casey Mittelstadt vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 62.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
5
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
49.2% (858)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
39.0% (41)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.0% (198)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Home
46.0% (491)
47.1% (546)
Away
42.4% (512)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
P1
44.0%
46.8%
P2
46.4%
46.8%
P3
41.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |