Casey Mittelstadt vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 60.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
49.0% (408)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
68.0% (25)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
49.1% (114)
+0.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Home
47.7% (583)
50.8% (319)
Away
46.4% (541)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
P1
50.0%
53.4%
P2
46.2%
47.4%
P3
45.5%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |