Casey Mittelstadt vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 25-21 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
21
(46 meetings)
25
21
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
11
2
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
13
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
6
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
48.7% (3,745)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
53.9% (219)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
46.6% (789)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
P1
46.8%
49.7%
P2
46.1%
47.3%
P3
44.0%
49.1%
OT
36.6%
36.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |