Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Veleno 48.6% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 61.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Mittelstadt
Veleno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
49.1% (438)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
37.5% (16)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
16.7% (6)
+5.5%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Home
47.2% (193)
44.0% (184)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Veleno
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
45.7%
50.4%
P3
38.8%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%