Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Veleno 49.2% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 68.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 54.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 51.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Mittelstadt
Veleno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
48.4% (531)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
56.3% (64)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.4% (27)
+5.6%
On power play, Veleno has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Veleno
Home
47.7% (583)
48.8% (289)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Veleno
P1
50.0%
46.1%
P2
46.2%
50.9%
P3
45.5%
49.7%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%